Figure 4.1: 31 Depletion of global phosphate reserves and reserve base (excluding reserves) under zero, low, intermediate and high growth scenarios (see text). The size of the future reserve base is not known as it largely depends on future phosphate prices. Scenario Consumption in 2050 (Mt/y) 167 356 511 1093 Year of depletion of Year of depletion of reserves reserve base (incl. reserves) 2098 2061 2050 2042 >2200 2151 2108 2072 Zero growth Low growth Intermediate growth High growth Table 4.2: Calculated phosphate rock consumption in 2050 and sufficiency of current reserves (15 000 M ton) and remaining reserve base (i.e. excluding the reserves; 32 000 M ton) under various growth scenarios (see text). Pagina 40

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